Brownlee says National is the victim of a ‘rogue’ poll. Can that really be true?

Everyone in politics is talking about rogue polls, after a Newshub Reid Research survey put the National Party on just 25%. Statistician and University of Auckland professor Thomas Lumley explains whether we can see this as one of them.  “Even with the most rigorous methodology, one in 20 polls will always be a rogue and … Read more

Public backing for NZ Covid-19 response rises to 87% – new poll

The government decision to extend alert level four by five days has widespread public endorsement, according to a new survey. Overwhelming support for the measures taken by the Ardern-led government in response to the Covid-19 pandemic has remained intact despite the extension of lockdown, rising from 84% to 87%, according to those surveyed by Colmar … Read more

The Bulletin: New poll sets scene for election year

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: New poll sets scene for election year, scale of public support for Weta Group revealed, and Phil Goff’s emails for sale. Each poll is just one snapshot, but this particular one is very interesting. The Newshub Reid Research poll has Labour and the Greens with a collective two-seat … Read more

The Bulletin: Blunder shakes confidence in gun buyback

Police Minister Stuart Nash and Police Deputy Commissioner Mike Clement

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Data breach blunder hits gun buyback, new poll gives National the numbers to govern, and South Island farm sale blocked by ministers. Another problem has hit the gun buyback programme, denting confidence in both the government and the police carrying out the operation. This time it … Read more

The Bulletin: New polls bring joy, confusion for political obsessives

Good morning, and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Two polls released showing bizarrely different scenarios, Murupara runs out of cash, and report finds racism embedded in the justice system.  In the space of a single evening, two wildly different poll results came out. Each tells an entirely different story of the voting preferences of the … Read more

The Bulletin: Long, costly mycoplasma bovis eradication ahead

Good morning, and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Eradication, not containment chosen for m. bovis outbreak, National eyes up new allies, and welfare working group disappoints activists. The government has decided to press ahead with eradication of cattle disease mycoplasma bovis. Radio NZ reports the eradication plan will cost close to a billion dollars, with the … Read more