Thomas LumleyThomas Lumley

Thomas Lumley is Professor of Biostatistics at the University of Auckland.

Brownlee says National is the victim of a ‘rogue’ poll. Can that really be true?

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Everyone in politics is talking about rogue polls, after a Newshub Reid Research survey put the National Party on just 25%. Statistician and University of Auckland professor Thomas Lumley explains whether we can see this as one of them.  “Even with the most rigorous methodology, one in 20 polls will always be a rogue and … Read more

A big unknown of Covid-19 in NZ? The number of cases we have not detected

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We can be confident the population prevalence of Covid-19 is less than 1%, but what else can we conclude, asks biostatistics professor Thomas Lumley. One of the known unknowns about the NZ coronavirus epidemic is the number of cases we have not detected. There will have been a mixture of people who didn’t get any symptoms, … Read more